Category Archives: Forex and Trading

FOREX Day Trading – The Dangers of Curve Fitting

FOREX Day Trading – The Dangers of Curve Fitting

In Forex day trading you see many systems that have fantastic track records in back testing, yet they can never match this performance in real time and the trader wipes out his equity.

The reason for this is the concept of curve fitting – if you don’t understand its significance you will lose.

Many traders buy hypothetical track records, or devise their own by running their signals over past data and any track record in day trading is curve fitted.

Why?

Day trading by its very nature doesn’t work.

You never get a real time track record of profits, so any track record has to be curve fitted to make a profit.

So what is curve fitting?

It means fitting the trading signals to the data ( you can of course do this on past data as you know the closing prices ) and making sure that the track record is profitable.

It’s very similar to shooting at a barn door and then drawing a cirlce around each one, after the shots are fired to amek them all bulls eyes.

Of course bending the system to fit the data doesn’t work and profitability is simply an illusion.

Examples of curve fitted systems are

Ones with lots of rules and parameters, or unique rules and parameters for different trading conditions, or contracts.

If you curve fit a system, be it in day trading or long term trend following, it will lose.

No reliable data

Day traders have to curve fit in hindsight to make a profit, as in real time volatility is random and its impossible to predict price direction.

To make money in any form of trading you need to play the odds and you can’t do that in day trading.

When you buy one of those enticing day trading systems offering you 100% profits or 70% success rates ask for the real time track record and you won’t get one.

The one presented to you is hypothetical and done knowing the closing prices and has been curve fitted.

Try and trade any day trading system from a vendor in real time and you can kiss goodbye to your account equity. Don’t fall for the hype of day trading systems see the reality, which is a sure fire way to lose all your money quickly.

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The Best Tactics For Short Term Forex Trading

The Best Tactics For Short Term Forex Trading

In terms of being the best tactician in short-term forex trading, we recommend momentum trading and for good reasons, too. Its main aim is to achieve the profit target as soon as possible with as little risk possible under the volatile circumstances that surround each forex transaction. Basically, you take advantage of the momentum when it is on your side by entering the forex market either on a long or short basis.

You will require three kinds of moving averages to accomplish your purpose, namely, the moving average convergence divergence (MACD), the 100-day simple moving average (SMA), and the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA). You will see why later.

For the MACD, be sure to use the default setting on the 5-minute chart. Said default setting is: Signal ENA=9, First EMA=12, and Second EMA=26. To start on this short-term forex trading strategy, open the 5-minute chart and look for the right currency pair. This means the pair trading below the SMA and EMA. Take a look at the MACD histogram. You will enter into a long trade when the MACD starts turning positive but stay within 5 candles. Your stop loss margin must be positioned at the candles low point, which should be above the EMA and SMA.

You will exit half of your position the moment the trade changes in your favour but be sure that it is still within the amount risked. The other half of your position will follow a trailing stop within a -15 pips on the 20-day EMA. This forex trading tactic should pay off handsomely under the right circumstances.

Now, lets assume that that your chosen currency pair is trading in the opposite direction above the EMA and SMA that is. In this case, you must be patient and wait until such time that the currency pair is trading below both the EMA and SMA by 15 pips, minimum.

In reverse of the first situation, you will enter into a short trade with the MACD turning negative within 5 candles. (The first situation was go long on positive turn). Your stop loss is at the high point of the first candle breaking through the EMA and SMA. (In the first, it was at a low point). You will also exit half of your position with the other half set for a trailing stop at +15 pips on the EMA. Again, this forex trading strategy should be in your favour when you can closely monitor the charts.

There are other strategies for short-term forex transactions, of course. Two examples are the use of 2 charts, namely, the hourly and the 10-minute charts as well as the 200-bar MA. You can also explore these options but we recommend trying the momentum trading strategy first.

Does Forex Auto Trading Really Work

Does Forex Auto Trading Really Work

There have been several vocal critics and naysayers in opposition to forex auto trading software. Understandably so when this software guarantees you automated income while you sleep. Because this looks far too good to be authentic, you possibly will ask the question, does forex auto trading actually work?

How forex auto trading programs run is that they are dependant upon algorithms which are tested and tweaked well before it is released to actual forex investors to ensure that they win as many of their investments as possible. They do this by reacting to adjustments in the forex market quicker than any other traders can because they remain connected to real time market stats twenty four hours a day so that they are forever in a position to act on changes efficiently.

As an example, if you’re financially invested in a valuable pattern which swiftly reverses from your fortune, with one of the best forex auto trading software programs in place, it will invest away the now bad investment on your behalf to stop you from hemorrhaging any of your revenue.

A second important advantage which forex auto trading gives you is that fact that you get this ability around the clock. These software work tirelessly to keep you on the winning sides of your trades that is a immense asset to have considering the 24/5 timetable of the forex market. This is why many qualified investors along with beginning traders swear by forex auto trading themselves.

Now to tackle the critics; it’s no secret that there is a number of over estimated and under performing software programs that survive only determined by the success and quiet reputations of the few successful software out there. They trick many forex investors of varying experience levels into buying them since of their promises of overnight riches and fast gains. Anyone who would frown upon forex auto trading either has either never tried it or has been hurt by one of these scammy software.

The real truth is that there are also more than a few gems out there which live up to their promises and are totally capable of making everyone who uses them some consistent and surefire realistic income.

30% of all forex investors are at present utilizing this software for a reason, and forex auto trading will keep on becoming more of the norm amongst investors in the succeeding years, although it is implausible that this technology will become known the world over anytime soon.

Give a Boost to Your Business with Automated Trading

Give a Boost to Your Business with Automated Trading

An automated trading system or ATS is basically a trading program carried out by the computers. It actually puts forward trade to an exchange. The designers and programmers who are involved in this field always test the automated trading systems on current data of market or on historical data. This is done to determine whether the algorithms which are underlying and guiding the whole system are profitable or not. Also, even the back testing software are good platforms of trading. It allows the designer of trading system to test and develop the trading systems on the data of historical market.

The strategies of automated trading have become really very popular amongst all the private individuals of forex traders. All the business owners take help of this trading in order to give a boost to their trade. Also, it is very important that as a business owner, you need to keep in mind all the aspects of the market. Market is very fast moving and the concept & strategies keep on changing so, you need to keep a check on everything. If you think that manual trading will be helpful then let me tell you that it is not at all as effective as automated trading is. The technique of automated trading is also known as algorithmic trading or algo trading or black-box trading. .

Automated trading makes use of electronic platforms in order to analyze the data of the market. It is used by foreign exchange markets to a greater extent. These days, even the forex market has been making in use the software program to do the whole trade on the behalf of their customers. Technology is advancing day by day and so is the forex market. Therefore, computers are used to carry out the different tasks which actually results into the development of algorithmic trading. Though investment is highly significant for every business but before making any large investment in your business, you need to know the condition of market thoroughly. It will actually help you a lot in finding out suitable market conditions and the right time for the investment.

Automated trading is the apt tool as it assists all the traders to trade in the most expertise way without making any kind of mistakes. This kind of trading is actually present in different formats. Therefore, all the users can choose the suitable form according to their requirements and needs. You just need to install that particular software in your computer. Also, you need to understand all the necessary market tactics in order to achieve the targeted goals. For the manual power, it would be next to impossible to accomplish those goals and objectives.

So, look for the best form of automated trading and develop your business!!

Addison Ailee is a great person with immense knowledge of market and . His work can give some fantastic information about .

Forex Trading – Use Forex Leverage Wisely

Forex Trading – Use Forex Leverage Wisely

The Forex trade market has a distinct special feature that allows you to earn enormous profits fast- leverage. However, you have to use Forex leverage wisely as it can also bring you big loses fast, and even wipe out your investment completely.

Here’s how Forex leverage works. You will have the power to trade your one (1) dollar capital to a position worth one hundred (100) dollars and generate profit from the one hundred (100) dollars, working on a ratio of 1:100. The leverage rates in Forex can go very high depending on the offer of the brokers. Do you now see the potential of earning huge profits just by leveraging?

But there’s a downside to this feature. The risk of incurring big loses is equal as that of earning your huge profits. What this means is that with the ability of Forex leverage to transform the trade one (1) hundred times bigger, you are also capable to lose your capital by as much. Again, based on a ratio of 1:100, if the trade goes against your favor, you can lose your entire capital even on a single trading with leverage.

It is crucial therefore to know how and when to use Forex leverage to your advantage. Leveraging is used by Forex brokers often to attract people to trade big so the brokers themselves can earn big, as they earn interest from the amount that they lend you as leverage.

Forex leverage is an easy tool to earn big profits from the trade as long as you learn how to use it judiciously. You should be able to balance the upside and downside of leveraging to earn optimum results with minimal risks.

Timothy Stevens is a Forex Options Trader who owns – He has helped hundreds of people on Trading Forex with Options.

He has recently developed a free e-course showing you a step by step process for starting your Forex Trading easier. To learn how to start Forex Trading with Options without wasting your time and losing more money, visit

How To Make Money By Trading In Tennis Matches

How To Make Money By Trading In Tennis Matches

TENNIS TRADING SYSTEM

This system exploits the fluctuations in price that occur during a tennis match. There are three things which will have a big impact on the price of the two players.

Break points, or even more of an impact from a confirmed break

Winning a set

Any sign of a player being injured and liable to retire

The price fluctuations are to my eyes out of proportion compared to the actual chances of a player eventually winning or losing the game, and this is where the system comes into its own.

The rules of the system are as follows

Only bet in mens games run by the ATP, where there is in-play betting offered by Betfair. These are easy to find just go into the tennis section of the Betfair site, click on the coupons tab, and then click on ‘Today’s in-play tab’).

Only bet in matches where the price of the favourite is between 1.20 and 1.50, if there are many matches in a day that fit the bill then tighten this to 1.30-1.40.You have to be able to put a bet on the underdog when the match goes in-play so make a note of the start time of the match on the ‘Rules’ tab for the match.

CAUTION – Matches quite often do not start at the stated time, they could get delayed by weather or a previous match overrunning, so you have to be flexible enough to be able to check regularly when the match is likely to start. You can get a clue by studying the order of play and live scores via the internet.

Before the start of play you need to check the prices offered by all your active bookmakers by using Betbrain . You select the book offering the best price for the favourite. You then use my trading spreadsheet (free from my website) to calculate your stakes. Enter the odds for the favourite into cell i6, then calculate your required stake for the underdog, by putting odds into cell h6, gradually altering them until the net profit shown in cell k10 is 15% (or just over).

So now you place your bet on the favourite with the chosen book (which could be Betfair, or any other of your active books), this can be done several hours before the match starts. Then when the game goes in-play you place your bet on the underdog at the calculated trading odds.

I am using a progressive staking plan for this systemFurther details can be found on my website Tennis Gambling Systems

Succeed In The Forex Affiliate Program

Succeed In The Forex Affiliate Program

The forex affiliate program can look very profitable and money spinning from outside but all these profits and the gains has some costs attached to it. The higher competition is surely one of the costs linked to it. The majority of the forex affiliate program has got affiliate members who have just entered in this field for the good money but they did not have any idea of how fierce the completion can turn out. It can not be in their favor every single time.

The superior forex brokers have got the affiliate programs which are usually called as the forex affiliate programs where any normal user can sign up. After signing up the forex trader is provided with the affiliate program connection to the particular forex broker. The only thing which needs to be taken care of is that they must avoid some of the common mistakes which the earlier forex affiliate members have committed. Following these guidelines can surely open all the gates of success for the forex trader.
Know about the forex affiliate program

The very important point is that to know more about the market. This is one of the biggest mistake which the people make is that they avoid the market scenario and the events. That does not necessarily mean that you have to be a very active forex member for succeeding in the forex affiliate program but certainly you need to know all the basics and the principles. A lot of other people have also tried hard enough to use this prospect and they can regard it as the chief means for the income. People need to know the distinctive nature of the forex market and what type of trader which it appeals to. People just expect that by including some banner ads in their websites they have done their bit in the success of the affiliate program. The forex trading market appeals to a different section of the society.

Choosing the right affiliate program

It is also seen that a lot of people suffer from the losses and they get discouraged by this. After the lack of the profits people sometimes think of leaving the forex affiliate program. There are professional forex affiliate partners who are the individuals that have dedicated their whole lives to the forex affiliate programs. The one good thing is that not to restrict your self to the any single forex affiliate program. It has its own advantages and the disadvantages.

Forex Benefits of Trading the Forex Market

Forex Benefits of Trading the Forex Market

Trading the Forex market has become very popular in the last years. Why is it that traders around the world see the Forex market as an investment opportunity? We will try to answer this question in this article. Also we will discuss come differences between the Forex market, the stocks market and the futures market.

Some of the benefits of trading the Forex market are:

Superior liquidity. Liquidity is what really makes the Forex market different from other markets. The Forex market is by far the most liquid financial market in the world with nearly 2 trillion dollars traded everyday. This ensures price stability and better trade execution. Allowing traders to open and close transactions with ease. Also such a tremendous volume makes it hard to manipulate the market in an extended manner.

24hr Market. This one is also one of the greatest advantages of trading Forex. It is an around the click market, the market opens on Sunday at 3:00 pm EST when New Zealand begins operations, and closes on Friday at 5:00 pm EST when San Francisco terminates operations. There are transactions in practically every time zone, allowing active traders to choose at what time to trade.

Leverage trading. Trading the Forex Market offers a greater buying power than many other markets. Some Forex brokers offer leverage up to 400:1, allowing traders to have only 0.25% in margin of the total investment. For instance, a trader using 100:1 means that to have a US$100,000 position, only US$1,000 are needed on margin to be able to open that position.

Low Transaction costs. Almost all brokers offer commission free trading. The only cost traders incur in any transaction is the spread (difference between the buy and sell price of each currency pair). This spread could be as low as 1 pip (the minimum increment in any currency pair) in some pairs.

Low minimum investment. The Forex market requires less capital to start trading than any other markets. The initial investment could go as low as $300 USD, depending on leverage offered by the broker. This is a great advantage since Forex traders are able to keep their risk investment to the lowest level.

Specialized trading. The liquidity of the market allows us to focus on just a few instruments (or currency pairs) as our main investments (85% of all trading transactions are made on the seven major currencies). Allowing us to monitor, and at the end get to know each instrument better.

Trading from anywhere. If you do a lot of traveling, you can trade from anywhere in the world just having an internet connection.

Some of the most important differences between the Forex market and other markets are explained below.

Forex market vs. Equity markets

Liquidity

FX market: Near two trillion dollars of daily volume. Equity market: Around 200 billion on a daily basis.

Trading hours

FX market: 24hr market, 5.5 days a week. Equity market: Monday through Friday from 8:30 EST to 5:00 EST.

Forex Trading – The Role of Support and Resistance in Forex Trading

Forex Trading – The Role of Support and Resistance in Forex Trading

If you want to be a successful Forex trader, it’s important to understand all the concepts involved in Forex options trading, including support and resistance, two concepts that go hand in hand.

The Forex market is always on the move. It constantly moves up and then pulls back again. During this cycle, resistance is determined as the highest point reached before the market pulls back. Meanwhile, also during the cycle mentioned, support is determined as the lowest point reached before the market starts moving up again. With the help of your imagination, you could perhaps see that support and resistance are virtual waves that are continually created as Forex options trading bursts with activity and the market swings over time. These days, you can find many different expert opinions on how to plot support and resistance. One of the most popular and highly recommended means of doing so is the use of trend lines.

Most traders actually don’t know how to use trend lines properly, making this effective method one of the most underutilized forms of technical analysis in Forex options trading. If trend lines are drawn correctly, you can make the market match the lines, instead of the other way around (which is, in fact, a common mistake committed by many traders out there). It is important to plot support and resistance, whether through the use of trend lines or some other method, because it holds the key to spotting good and bad hits, allowing you to make profitable calls and avoid risks.

Timothy Stevens is a Forex Options Trader who owns – He has helped hundreds of people on Trading Forex with Options.

He has recently developed a free e-course showing you a step by step process for starting your Forex Trading easier. To learn how to start Forex Trading with Options without wasting your time and losing more money, visit

Qualities of an Excellent Forex Broker in Australia

Qualities of an Excellent Forex Broker in Australia

A forex broker is a person who trades on behalf of a trader. A forex Australia trader buys and sells currencies in the market with the aim of making a profit. When a broker makes a profit, the merchant gives the broker a commission. FX traders do not invest their money in the deal. Therefore, they should ensure that they buy and sell intelligibly and avoid making losses. If you are planning to be a forex broker, you should have the following qualities.

Wise

Since forex is highly volatile and you can make huge loses within a short span of time, you should be wise to identify when to execute a deal and when to get out of the job. Entering the job at the right time ensures that you have higher chances of making profits, while leaving the market at the right time aids in lowering losses.

In addition to being able to identify the best time getting in and out of a market, you should be able to identify scams. The FX market is unregulated. This means that anyone from any part of the world can get into the business. This exposes the deal to great scam.

With good forex brokers Australia, you should be able to tell frauds from legitimate trades. This way you will be able to avoid engaging in swindle merchants that will translate to lose on the side of you.

You should use your intelligence and experience in telling swindle from legitimate deal. In addition, if you have tools that are able to differentiate legitimate and swindle, you should use them.

Positive Attitude

Forex trading can be stressful-especially when you are on a losing streak. In addition, if you are not using trading software, sometimes it may seem like the market will never be right for trading. Due to this, as a broker, you are bound to give up. Before giving up, you should know that the merchant solely relies on you in executing the deals. Instead of giving up, you should maintain a positive attitude and stick to the business until you start making profits.

Conclusion

In addition to the above qualities, as a forex broker, you should have high integrity and transparency. If you have made a profit, you should inform the merchant the exact amount that you have made. If you have made a loss, you should also inform. This way, you will maintain your integrity and your business will flourish.